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The smallest number he gave to Fortune when asked about the cost to taxpayers of Epic Fury was $40 billion, for the smallest estimate of the direct budgetary cost, in a range that goes up to $95 billion. He said PWBM assumes more upside risk in the Epic Fury scenario, so a $65 billion direct hit to taxpayers is the likely cost for direct military operations as well as the replacement of equipment, munitions, and other supplies. “If the war lasts more than two months, then this number goes up,” he added.